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It feels high to me because most ER cases should be obvious i.e. heart attacks, car accidents and strokes etc. So if say 10% of cases are non standard then 2% overall is 20% off that.


Not only is the case mix much broader than you imagine but even the three things you listed all have plenty of nuance at the individual case level.


We don't have an anti-heart attack pill. Medicine hasn't developed the post-car-accident protocol. Strokes vary so much in type that they can go unrecognized by competent doctors for years.


The ER functions as primary care for a large percentage of the population. They see far far more than the kinds of thing a rational person with health insurance thinks of when they think about medical problems they’d go to the ER for.




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