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> But I am a licensed private pilot with 30 years of flying experience

So you have the lowest pilot qualification who can even solo, and no jet qualifications at all. But you know better than the pilots union at a commercial airline, who are run by commercial airline pilots? Or the FAA who haven't stepped in after TWO reportable events? So, yes, absolutely Dunning–Kruger applies here, and the fact you don't seem to see that is a problem.

Heck, you think "I am a software developer" means anything in this context is also a mystery to me.

> In the face of those facts, an implicit and unsupported assessment that I am a person of "low ability, expertise, or experience"

You are though. You only have PPL, and seemingly don't even know what it is that you lack in terms of expertise. The fact you think you know better than people who are demonstratively more qualified to have an opinion is problematic, it is textbook Dunning–Kruger.

If you knew more you'd be embarrassed but what you're saying here.

> The fact that neither the union nor the airline have publicly expressed the same concern that I have in no way implies a lack of expertise on their part.

They did express that concern, it is in the article. They even shut down the airline for a period because they were so concern at not insignificant cost to them.



> you have the lowest pilot qualification who can even solo

First, that's not true. Student pilots can fly solo, and there is also a sport pilot rating with is in some sense "lower" than a PPL. So the PPL is actually right in the middle of the primary rating hierarchy.

But more importantly, your characterization of a PPL as the "lowest pilot qualification" implies a pretty profound misunderstanding of how pilot ratings work and in particular how they relate to operational knowledge. It is possible to fly a jet with a PPL, and it is possible to get an ATP without ever flying anything beyond a Piper Arrow. There are also all kinds of orthogonal ratings like an instrument rating, seaplane rating, multi-engine rating, and instructor rating. And absolutely none of those things have anything to do with flying jets. For that you have "type ratings" [1], which are more or less orthogonal to all of the others.

> You only have PPL

That is also not true. I have additional ratings beyond the PPL, I just haven't mentioned them because they are not relevant. What is relevant is that I actually fly airplanes, and so in general I probably understand the process of flying an airplane better than someone who does not fly airplanes, and I have actually written and deployed software in mission-critical situations, and so in general I probably understand mission-critical software and its attendant risks better than someone who has not.

> They even shut down the airline for a period

No, "they" did not shut down the airline. A single individual, Bret Payton, shut it down.

> If you knew more you'd be embarrassed but what you're saying here.

Could be. But at least I know the difference between "but" and "about".

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[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_rating


Is it too late to point out that understanding of the Dunning-Kruger effect is subject to a pop-psych Dunning-Kruger effect?


Nope. :-)




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