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The unintended consequences of covid-19 (both good and bad) are really surprising.


I think the best part it is that we're stopping to think about our behavior in general.

So much of what we do is inertial, normalized insanity that bears some introspection.

For example, it's interesting to hear so many people talk about how they miss shopping. I'm the same way, and it made me think ... wait a minute, I've saved more money in the past two months than I have in years, I don't feel like I'm missing any tangible goods ... maybe rampant consumerism is, in aggregate, bad for me?

Same with dining out, which I did with incredible frequency.

All of this makes me think not just about my behavior, but the massive drivers behind making us all want to spend money on things we don't need in the pursuit of manufactured pleasure.


I've been getting all my retail therapy out at the grocery store.

It's interesting to think about what long term effects this will have on shopping, particularly retail stores long term. This was a good piece on it: https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-coronavirus-bull-market-for-g... This will definitely impact the way people interact/eat in NYC.


Love this.

Reminds me of something I recently learned about the word ‘apocalypse’ which is the greek word meaning ‘revelation’ (e.g. book of revelation).

A revelation is an unveiling or unfolding of things not previously known _and_ which could not have been known apart from the unfolding events.

Ergo, this event is an apocalypse (of sorts :))


If I may tack on one other observation, it's the sad attempts by companies to try to profit from the pandemic while looking altruistic:

https://twitter.com/nkozyra/status/1263106625335734273

It's a weird statement on where modern startup/retail is.


I don't know, what are companies supposed to do, not sell facemasks? That doesn't help either.


It's not that they're [selling facemasks] they're doing so at incredible markup, encouraging and incentivizing sellers to create even more markup.


Should we also be condemning our local gastropub for charging $15 for a burger? Shouldn't they be charging the same as White Castle? People gotta eat after all.

These are customized. I mean, if this were the only company selling facemasks, sure, $15 is a lot. But for somebody who wants to jazz up their facemask, maybe $15 makes sense. I'm not interested in that but maybe somebody is.


$15 is the starting price, affiliates can charge what they like.

If burgers were a thing people could use in a pandemic to reduce transmission and they let affiliates put a design on the bun and upcharge to get a sliver of profit I think this might be a fair analog.

I dunno, I think this is a missed opportunity for some good pr, or at least not look like they're exploiting a crisis even further.


But, again, it's not like this is the only company selling masks. It's not price gouging if there are tons of lower cost alternatives. They're offering an upgraded experience, some people are going to want that, and that's ok.


That's not how economics works.


If I were complaining about price gouging in a hurricane and you came strolling around and told me "hey, that's how economics works" I'd say you missed the point entirely.

In other words, my issue isn't with the mechanics of capitalism.


There's been a lot of press about delivery services gouging restaurants now that a majority of them are being forced to use them.

I did see the other day Chipolte is doing their own delivery service now which is awesome. Not sure why more places ditch Grubhub and Doordash and just have their own in house delivery service. It's so much cheaper than outsourcing to companies who've been gouging restaurants and the consumer.


There will be an equilibrium between these things, and it's not necessarily just “gouging” if delivery services increase prices, given that the actual supply of drivers (as has been reported here before) is strained.

Basically contract delivery services have a premium to begin with, to take the delivery business off your hands. If you have dramatically more orders per day, it can actually make sense to have your own delivery people; especially since your managers have all the time in the world to focus on delivery now that your dine-in is closed or restricted.


Even if you have a high order volume, a delivery service should still have more deliveries near a given destination and be able to improve margins by grouping those together for delivery.

I may be the only person in my apartment complex ordering Chipotle for dinner tonight, but there are going to be several others ordering something.


That is a common assumption for people to make about delivery services, but it is not that correct with prepared food delivery, where it is unlikely that you will line up even two pickups without compromising the freshness/hotness of at least one of the orders; often this is difficult even if both of the pickups are from the same establishment.

Now, unlikely and difficult don't mean impossible but there's more to it than meets the eye.


Chipotle uses DoorDash behind the scenes


There are tons of examples of this (my local car dealership is running a deal on getting your car detailed right now). It seems odd that you picked probably the least egregious example possible, a company selling face masks.


Again, it's not a company selling face masks. If they did that, just said "here's our face masks for sale" it would be great.

Instead, it's a platform that incentivizes affiliates to markup face masks. Like, there's no value add here.


It's a good lesson for those that naively think the world is (largely) uncoupled, where you can shut down / remove one part, and nothing around it is affected.

I remember talking with some ex-colleague of mine some 3 months ago, just before the pandemic hit us (where I live, that is) - we were talking about how this would impact business, and to my big surprise he was very cool about the situation. I had to remind him that he (working in marketing, living in a tourist city) was only approximately two edges away from the businesses most in danger of getting pummeled by the virus.

But, no, it was only "hysteria". Lo and behold, 6 weeks later he's temporarily laid off, because the businesses he's making ads for are closing down, because they again were supplying stuff to the travel industry, among others.

And we're going to see a lot more of that, in the upcoming months. The reach is wide, and the aftershock is long.


And these same people think they will just be hired right away and things will spool right back up. With nearly 40 million people claiming unemployment. Things that took years to build crumbled in weeks. It will take years again.


I wonder about the alternative timeline scenario where America didn’t have such high levels of the pre-existing conditions that make covid deadly (>98% of covid deaths in MA are due to/with preexisting conditions).


It's a shame for the people who need transplants, but reducing accidents is overall an improvement. Fewer people are dying overall. If we were approaching this from the opposite direction, nobody would suggest that increasing the number of cars on the road would be good because it would increase the pool of organ donors.

The bigger issue is buried in the middle of the article: we lost out on possible transplants because of lack of COVID-19 tests. There's no upside to that.


I've put on weight, lost a lot of fitness and strength, the stress is taking a mental toll and I skipped a cancer screening test. Its really affecting my health and I'm nowhere near the virus.


And provide a lot of real world data for things that would move the same levers.




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